A glimmer of hope?
Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008
There is an Egyptian delegation in town, led by the Speaker of their parliament, a significant figure in Egyptian politics. He told me that I looked like a film actor who played the role of a spy. Not James Bond I can safely assume.
Egypt, like Saudi Arabia, is a pivotal player in the Middle East. It is they who will seek to keep President Bush engaged in the peace process, post Annapolis. There will be no resolution of the Palestine-Israel conflict without U.S involvement, whatever some Europeans may think.
It is very difficult to understand the mindset of Hamas, who get their armaments smuggled in from Egyptian territory. Is it that Hamas do not want a settlement between Israel and Palestine? By lobbing rockets into Israel, it hardens Israeli public opinion, strengthens the views of those who fear a West Bank from which one day rockets may be launched into Israel. Yet Abu Mazen is clearly a credible figure to the Israelis, in contrast to Yasser Arafat. Are the rocket launches designed to get Israel to invade Gaza, thus stiffening the resolve of the inhabitants in favour of Hamas?
Meanwhile the former Saudi ambassador in London and adviser to King Abdullah, Prince Turki al-Faisal, gave an interview in Germany and said:
“The Arab world, by the Arab peace initiative, has crossed the Rubicon from hostility towards Israel to peace with Israel and has extended the hand of peace to Israel, and we await the Israelis picking up our hand and joining us in what inevitably will be beneficial for Israel and for the Arab world.”
“One can imagine not just economic, political and diplomatic relations between Arabs and Israelis but also issues of education, scientific research, combating mutual threats to the inhabitants of this vast geographic area.”
If indeed some political settlement can be reached, a whole series of investment projects from diverse countries including Turkey and Japan is in prospect on the West Bank.
President Bush has a clear hand in making this happen by keeping up the process, much encouraged by countries like Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia. He should respond more positively to the overtures from Syria too.
American influence, and by extension ours, is much diminished in the region. Over many decades the cynics have been right to be both cynical and pessimistic. Something, however, Gaza notwithstanding, seems to be stirring in the undergrowth. We can only hope and pray it is for real this time.